Rain and warmth could lead to flooding

DAYTON, Ohio (WDTN)  A thin layer of ice covers part of the Great Miami River in downtown Dayton.  The warmer temperatures and snow melt have made the river higher.   Add in heavy rain and rivers swell even more.

Forecasting river levels and flooding potential isn’t easy and can change quickly.  Water resources manager with the Miami Conservancy Districk Michael Ekberg says, “There’s some margin of error and levels can change if the precipitation increases.”

The puddles on every street corner are evidence the sun has melted some of the Miami Valley’s snow pack.   The rapid melt has already had an impact on the Great Miami River.

Michael Ekberg Miami Conservancy District says, “The river level has actually come up about a half a foot which isn’t really isn’t that noticeable at this vantage point.”

But the forecast for the end of the week may make it a little more noticeable.  Ekberg says  the channel is designed to carry one hundred and ten thousand cubic feet per second.  Well enough to handle the weather this week.

“What we’re looking at with snow melt and inch of rain on Thursday if we got up to ten thousand cubic feet per second that’s less than a tenth of the capacity for this channel,”  Ekber says.

He along with others at the Miami Conservancy District will be watching the river gauges and river forecasts.

Some of the tributaries are expected to rise above normal and may impact low lying areas.
Until then the spring like thaw will keep things a little soggy and create higher river levels for the next several days.


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